[Intelforum] Performance Measurement and the Intelligence Community

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From: Dwayne Anderson <dwayne.s.anderson at gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 16 Nov 2006 15:15:11 -0500
To: intelforum at lists101.his.com
Subject: Re: Performance Measurement and the Intelligence Community

Dear Dan,

Measuring the performance of National Estimates would seem to be 
worthwhile project. Since US Cold War estimates of Soviet military 
capabilities are available, I believe, at the National Archives, it 
is possible gauge an estimate against later more accurate assessments 
of the actual capabilities. For example, while the estimates were 
accurate in many areas at various times, there were over estimates on 
Soviet long range bombers, on army divisions, and on long range 
submarine production. On the other hand, the rapid build up of Soviet 
ICBM strength was underestimated for some years.

In any case, whether you try this area or not, good luck on your project.

Dwayne S. Anderson


IntelForum Mailing List wrote:
>Date: Mon, 13 Nov 2006 15:05:35 -0500
>From: <dhilllaw at adelphia.net>
>To: IntelForum at lists101.his.com
>Subject: Performance Measurement and the Intelligence Community
>
>Ladies and Gentlemen:
>
>I'm writing a graduate school paper concerning performance 
>measurement in the US Intelligence Community.   If anyone one has 
>subject-area suggestions ( e.g., past IC initiatives or the 
>opposite) or reference material recommendations of particular merit, 
>I'd certainly appreciate it.  I'd like to make this project as 
>timely and practical as possible.  I have degrees in both law and 
>public administration/public policy analysis, if that helps anyone 
>gauge their suggestions.
>
>Thank you.
>
Dan Hill
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